Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Midtjylland vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x969b57309839bd5f50c986204ae1e64f16dc176c876d34d25bb98258e4c66cba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf78e…0956backed Yes | 62c | 1,013$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 38c | 900$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked No | 39c | 99.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 37c | 82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | -11.8wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 37c | 53.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 132 | 56.8%75 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed No | 38c | 28.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…200abacked Yes | 63c | 19.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Yes | 63c | 16.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Midtjylland vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Midtjylland vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: FC Midtjylland (-0.5)FC Midtjylland won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.