Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Detroit Titans vs. Youngstown State Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97056d08b3a0a7bf9ca27901af96369f0273f51d3e6ee7b6eeed0780ce71e2cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Titansof Detroit Titans, Youngstown State Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,501
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,501 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Youngstown State Penguins | 6c | 3,875$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.55 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 10c | 1,729$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.83 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Youngstown State Penguins | 9c | 981.01$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.53 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Detroit Titans | 68c | 915.19$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.68 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…bb01backed Detroit Titans | 26c | 789.91$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…68dfbacked Detroit Titans | 25c | 777.75$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.57 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed Youngstown State Penguins | 64c | 654.83$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Youngstown State Penguins | 60c | 550.04$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.06 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Detroit Titans | 35c | 535.04$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.64 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Detroit Titans | 22c | 455.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.7 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Detroit Titans | 17c | 399.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.41 | 215 | 35.3%76 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Youngstown State Penguins | 29c | 247.9$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.46 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Youngstown State Penguins | 48c | 246.08$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.78 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Detroit Titans | 55c | 191.46$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.1 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Detroit Titans | 46c | 143.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.86 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed Detroit Titans | 36c | 130$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…61b8backed Youngstown State Penguins | 53c | 107.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Youngstown State Penguins | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Detroit Titans | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Youngstown State Penguins | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Youngstown State Penguins | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5514…72bdbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 62c | 70$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…1591backed Youngstown State Penguins | 78c | 46.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6af1…0b91backed Youngstown State Penguins | 49c | 40.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce0a…2d88backed Youngstown State Penguins | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa848…68fcbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8470…7933backed Detroit Titans | 61c | 28.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…b7f6backed Detroit Titans | 56c | 25.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…e6d3backed Youngstown State Penguins | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 60c | 19.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 72c | 19.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec25…dec6backed Youngstown State Penguins | 77c | 18.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Youngstown State Penguins | 78c | 17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Detroit Titans vs. Youngstown State Penguinsthis page
- Detroit Titans vs. Youngstown State Penguins: O/U 142.5Under won
- Detroit Titans vs. Youngstown State Penguins: O/U 145.5Under won
- Detroit Titans vs. Youngstown State Penguins: O/U 147.5Under won
- Spread: Youngstown State Penguins (-11.5)Detroit Titans won
- Spread: Youngstown State Penguins (-8.5)Detroit Titans won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.