South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-02-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x971652a3fd62b87ec06f9e5fc58fb95f2cff5ada7f09d2047824c7b18bd7cdf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,832
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 65c | 5,719$3,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.55 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 35c | 5,676$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.15 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 29c | 2,788$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.45 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…5018backed Yes | 65c | 1,974$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.66 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 27c | 1,354$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.75 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 78c | 1,257$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.44 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 826.85$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.89 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…8438backed Yes | 77c | 626.15$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No | 29c | 599.98$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.71 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 53c | 352.77$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.57 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Yes | 44c | 343.61$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.32 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed No | 32c | 310.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 61cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 32c | 299.13$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.86 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 27c | 249.74$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.38 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 36c | 233.01$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.78 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 50c | 215$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.83 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 36c | 146.8$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…583abacked Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…c98abacked Yes | 70c | 93.66$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…e25fbacked Yes | 69c | 72.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Yes | 77c | 71.43$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Yes | 71c | 69.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 63c | 63.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Yes | 71c | 56.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed Yes | 76c | 52.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2078…8772backed Yes | 77c | 51.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 23c | 50.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Yes | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Yes | 67c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 43c | 40.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.83 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 70c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 30c | 37.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…f7cdbacked Yes | 66c | 36.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7a…18debacked Yes | 67c | 20.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 77c | 19.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…1a87backed Yes | 76c | 17.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 71c | 16.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf3…8f91backed Yes | 77c | 16.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 77c | 14.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-02-03?this page
- Will Club The Strongest vs. Deportivo Táchira FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Deportivo Táchira FC win on 2026-02-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.