TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Ducks vs. Blue Jackets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ducksof Ducks, Blue Jackets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,742
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$67,080

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,742 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb786…b18dbacked Ducks14c26,378$3,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,685.6792848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Ducks14c8,461$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,248.0135545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Ducks14c5,433$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,660.3731334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Ducks47c2,296$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.039747.4%46 W · 51 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe505…d18bbacked Blue Jackets63c1,926$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.646357.1%36 W · 27 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Ducks37c1,254$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.2172847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed Ducks45c1,106$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.065534.5%19 W · 36 L-6.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x7d03…8222backed Blue Jackets63c1,015$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.66771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+39.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Blue Jackets63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Blue Jackets60c877.55$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.1386649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Ducks37c754.2$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.771,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Ducks11c617.93$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.1913241.7%55 W · 77 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb341…cbdcbacked Ducks37c601.98$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.25757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd2…d60fbacked Blue Jackets62c548.66$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.91785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick67cpaid+26.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Ducks37c436.93$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.2754349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e4d…0f41backed Blue Jackets62c361.11$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.89250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+56.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac99…9aefbacked Ducks38c360.23$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.34475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+48.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe564…e364backed Blue Jackets77c330.96$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.841040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Ducks14c300$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2585633.9%19 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Ducks36c299.96$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.9829847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Ducks41c254.02$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.0220540.5%83 W · 122 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Ducks39c250.01$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.5172444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Ducks10c218.84$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.2991334.1%311 W · 602 L-27.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cc9…fc51backed Blue Jackets76c208.58$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.35450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccfb…376ebacked Ducks37c204.39$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.77560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Ducks40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Blue Jackets64c187.66$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12013562.2%84 W · 51 L+0.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Ducks40c150$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97b…388dbacked Ducks37c148.74$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.711361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Ducks42c143.57$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3972448.3%350 W · 374 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb299…4a62backed Blue Jackets61c131.75$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8173157.5%420 W · 311 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Ducks26c115.66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.661921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Ducks37c112.73$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.024645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Ducks37c108.9$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.623144.6%103 W · 128 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9e…d9f9backed Ducks37c108.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4411445.6%52 W · 62 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc17a…1db3backed Ducks39c102.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.57950.6%40 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Ducks14c100$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+147.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Blue Jackets61c99.97$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9881846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Ducks40c99.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6819150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Blue Jackets63c93.21$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7222246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Blue Jackets62c84.71$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.521,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02c7…3df7backed Ducks39c80.9$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.359547.4%45 W · 50 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98b4…5d76backed Blue Jackets60c75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4530155.1%166 W · 135 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd22…2df2backed Blue Jackets65c74.4$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Ducks39c69.88$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8884051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6339…bc97backed Ducks44c68.88$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.89450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6144…2fffbacked Blue Jackets64c60$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.44452.3%23 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8399…d46fbacked Ducks37c53.87$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc224…cd43backed Ducks39c51.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2819057.9%110 W · 80 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Ducks41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.782259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…4bffbacked Blue Jackets62c47.26$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57df…fdc9backed Blue Jackets62c46.96$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.95450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08cf…818ebacked Blue Jackets63c45.08$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-70.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3106…4a1fbacked Ducks37c44.23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.86966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+43.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x548b…01e6backed Blue Jackets57c39.07$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.27540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-35.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd56a…75d1backed Ducks38c38.85$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.91580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+93.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a53…860ebacked Ducks38c38.03$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.582100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+111%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f8d…4adbbacked Ducks39c37.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.051050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a7…505bbacked Blue Jackets61c37.79$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.051435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.22per pick57cpaid-39.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x90e9…518fbacked Ducks38c37.33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.15475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+74%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a4a…e079backed Blue Jackets62c37.33$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.15875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+55.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x43a4…19e8backed Ducks38c36.97$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.92475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+69%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9576…ce79backed Blue Jackets62c36.97$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.92633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-45.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51fc…91adbacked Ducks37c36.55$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.02450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b0d…cf42backed Ducks38c36.37$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.43850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe046…fbf3backed Ducks39c36.28$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.134100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+92.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x59b7…edcbbacked Blue Jackets62c35.81$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1425…dd56backed Ducks38c35.59$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.214100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+101.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe7d1…8961backed Blue Jackets62c35.25$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.02650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e2b…337abacked Ducks37c35.21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2682…d8f0backed Blue Jackets63c35.21$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.18450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Blue Jackets59c35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b4…6a5dbacked Ducks37c34.85$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.95966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eac…3b6bbacked Blue Jackets61c34.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.23520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick58cpaid-74%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5b2…3930backed Ducks39c34.8$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.23520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-48.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x611b…b81dbacked Blue Jackets57c34.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6c74…3a8bbacked Blue Jackets62c34.28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.25560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5971…2f01backed Ducks39c34.18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.85666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac23…b3f9backed Ducks38c34.13$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.16560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+29.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ad3…5113backed Blue Jackets62c34.13$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.16425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-47.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5e9…7c09backed Blue Jackets61c33.82$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.63540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfed…0dadbacked Ducks38c33.48$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.753100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+83.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7981…d374backed Ducks38c33.19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd9…4500backed Ducks39c33.15$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.22333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21a2…866dbacked Blue Jackets63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209260.9%56 W · 36 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5965…3628backed Blue Jackets63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205354.7%29 W · 24 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x12d2…30cbbacked Blue Jackets63c31.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.79650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85bf…cf2bbacked Blue Jackets64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207540%30 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x517b…cf0ebacked Blue Jackets54c30.89$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.68850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4f6…d381backed Ducks38c30.79$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.09250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb481…ae88backed Ducks38c30.34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.81475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+45.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3775…9d02backed Ducks41c30.12$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.78560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd22…45c6backed Blue Jackets61c29.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.74944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8000…dffdbacked Ducks39c29.07$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.74650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebac…d910backed Blue Jackets62c29.01$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5e9…3166backed Ducks45c28.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.991957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf33…da03backed Ducks41c28.9$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.05580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+55.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb08c…f4d9backed Blue Jackets59c28.9$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.05520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x89e1…09adbacked Ducks38c28.62$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.744100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+97.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6b10…c396backed Blue Jackets63c28.37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.