Euroleague · resolved market
Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Sichuan Blue Whales
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x978649a92cbf8956466d29fa4bb79d276a28c345816d3ab11e355ad5d4465e8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jilin Northeast Tigersof Jilin Northeast Tigers, Sichuan Blue Whales
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,106
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,106 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 4c | 5,018$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.84 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 4c | 2,532$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.39 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 3c | 2,100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 6c | 1,941$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.32 | 86 | 11.6%10 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 3c | 1,064$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 12c | 1,056$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.93 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 8c | 1,028$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.65 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 6c | 771.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.73 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 4c | 741.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +63%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 4c | 662.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…f632backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 5c | 633.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 16c | 605.11$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.96 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 20c | 470.61$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 16c | 434.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 16c | 397.95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.84 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 12c | 349.23$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.77 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 6c | 339.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 4c | 323.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 11c | 236$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 14c | 210.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 16c | 201.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 16c | 201.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 15c | 193.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 15c | 185.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 7c | 180.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1234…c1bbbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 7c | 150.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 16c | 148.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 16c | 115.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 16c | 108.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 16c | 95.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 12c | 94.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.