South American Leagues · resolved market
Racing Club vs. CA River Plate: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97aea9600a9f567d8df4d3689f15a432c6c49ea296edf0e079195ae8177bfacc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c45…0ac6backed Over | 25c | 7,969$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 75c | 7,201$5,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.32 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Over | 29c | 4,754$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.98 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 1,280$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.02 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 67c | 1,005$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.69 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…e713backed Under | 60c | 651.14$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.52 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 65c | 591.12$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.59 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41bc…e9d2backed Over | 29c | 442.6$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 70c | 349.36$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.75 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Under | 68c | 296.16$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.15 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 37c | 258.69$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.23 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 72c | 222.45$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.94 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 71c | 209.49$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.95 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 75c | 200.13$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.76 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 71c | 197.93$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.65 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 75c | 174.29$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 63c | 167.04$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 39c | 162.94$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.26 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 73c | 140.94$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 63c | 138.08$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Over | 37c | 130.03$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 65c | 97.9$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 69c | 95.68$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 76c | 90.05$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 77c | 74.2$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Under | 75c | 65.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 57c | 55.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 65c | 45.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…2b69backed Under | 59c | 43.49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 41c | 41.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Over | 41c | 41.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 75c | 35.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 31c | 34.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fec…9ac8backed Over | 43c | 33.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff9…bf35backed Under | 62c | 33.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Over | 42c | 32.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Under | 70c | 29.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1ab4backed Under | 65c | 28.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 42c | 28.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 42c | 28.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 72c | 15.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Racing Club vs. CA River Plate: O/U 2.5this page
- Racing Club vs. CA River Plate: O/U 1.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. CA River Plate: O/U 3.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. CA River Plate: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-1.5)CA River Plate won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.