NHL · resolved market
SHL: Luleaa vs. Froelunda HC
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97b40a3690f5549a8ebc826d4675bf6affd84dfeada07da15be4aa281838971e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Luleaaof Luleaa, Froelunda HC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Froelunda HC | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.96 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Luleaa | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Luleaa | 48c | 785$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.07 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…3351backed Froelunda HC | 52c | 710.3$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Luleaa | 50c | 376.91$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.78 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Luleaa | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Froelunda HC | 59c | 280.3$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.87 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Luleaa | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Froelunda HC | 43c | 196.08$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.93 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Luleaa | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…b93dbacked Luleaa | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Luleaa | 47c | 161.29$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.48 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Froelunda HC | 58c | 144$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.08 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Luleaa | 47c | 140.83$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Froelunda HC | 53c | 106.96$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Luleaa | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Luleaa | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Luleaa | 47c | 87.37$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.31 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Froelunda HC | 46c | 85.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Luleaa | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…ca21backed Luleaa | 55c | 72.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Luleaa | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x008d…b839backed Luleaa | 46c | 65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 450 | 69.3%312 W · 138 L | +51.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Froelunda HC | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976d…b79dbacked Froelunda HC | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Froelunda HC | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa049…4314backed Luleaa | 54c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Froelunda HC | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Luleaa | 46c | 38.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed Luleaa | 47c | 36.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Froelunda HC | 55c | 36.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Froelunda HC | 45c | 31.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Froelunda HC | 76c | 31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Luleaa | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Luleaa | 44c | 29.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.78 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Froelunda HC | 53c | 26.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed4…8f43backed Froelunda HC | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Froelunda HC | 54c | 21.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Luleaa | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Froelunda HC | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.