Asian League · resolved market
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Ulsan HD FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x980715f6e47f075f7befc21983ab1be7e892cd9371489ec32b1772aead581bb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 29c | 688.49$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.59 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 71c | 473.35$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.27 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 471.02$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.77 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 80c | 414.56$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.89 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 10c | 301.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ecf…9148backed Yes | 24c | 250.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f55…4213backed Yes | 22c | 226.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 78c | 199.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.63 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 17c | 187.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 21c | 175.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.22 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 29c | 155.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.31 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 119.8$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 77c | 106.61$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 23c | 90.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f6…7bd7backed Yes | 23c | 81.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3963…3c01backed No | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 22c | 67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 126 | 35.7%45 W · 81 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed Yes | 23c | 61.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed No | 77c | 57.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 78c | 44.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 122 | 42.6%52 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 78c | 38.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 78c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59af…ccc0backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 78c | 21.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad78…678cbacked No | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 36 | 83.3%30 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 78cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 80c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed No | 78c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 77c | 13.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Ulsan HD FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-04-04?Yes won
- Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.