Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bali: Ryuki Matsuda vs Isaac Becroft
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9811c648c40ad62d50c17378c67e2cd5e93b1a41e37dfa18cde8c1a7bcf914c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Isaac Becroftof Ryuki Matsuda, Isaac Becroft
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ryuki Matsuda | 18c | 3,585$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.87 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Isaac Becroft | 76c | 3,214$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.2 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…6794backed Ryuki Matsuda | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 378 | 53.7%203 W · 175 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Ryuki Matsuda | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,087 | 54.1%1,130 W · 957 L | +64.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Ryuki Matsuda | 20c | 232.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.46 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Ryuki Matsuda | 25c | 196.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Ryuki Matsuda | 42c | 116.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 217 | 45.2%98 W · 119 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Isaac Becroft | 70c | 108.63$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Ryuki Matsuda | 21c | 103.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Isaac Becroft | 75c | 99.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Ryuki Matsuda | 21c | 98.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ceb…4716backed Ryuki Matsuda | 22c | 97.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Ryuki Matsuda | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Isaac Becroft | 79c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Isaac Becroft | 78c | 60.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Ryuki Matsuda | 23c | 60.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Isaac Becroft | 76c | 58.34$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Isaac Becroft | 62c | 38.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Ryuki Matsuda | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Isaac Becroft | 64c | 29.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 471 | 66.5%313 W · 158 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…4b43backed Ryuki Matsuda | 37c | 28.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa261…af5bbacked Isaac Becroft | 78c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Isaac Becroft | 66c | 24.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Isaac Becroft | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Isaac Becroft | 70c | 18.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.