Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Lafayette Leopards (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x982cf721352348b0069f6de8bbb5f393f68af8b890a613db4948932752160a6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Holy Cross Crusadersof Lafayette Leopards, Holy Cross Crusaders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Lafayette Leopards | 55c | 3,799$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.31 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 45c | 1,430$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.74 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 45c | 1,279$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.35 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 45c | 636.44$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.04 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…ee95backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 45c | 440.59$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.33 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lafayette Leopards | 55c | 169$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.95 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 46c | 118.96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.24 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lafayette Leopards | 55c | 62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 45c | 44.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 45c | 41.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Lafayette Leopards (-3.5)this page
- Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Lafayette LeopardsHoly Cross Crusaders won
- Spread: Lafayette Leopards (-4.5)Holy Cross Crusaders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.