Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Lafayette Leopards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabb0ac0055d3bdae3a5fdb6c130791d032937afaa512a2a01dd0e6a510d5c3ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Holy Cross Crusadersof Holy Cross Crusaders, Lafayette Leopards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lafayette Leopards | 46c | 2,293$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.14 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 35c | 1,800$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.99 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Lafayette Leopards | 67c | 1,797$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.46 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 24c | 1,666$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.39 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Lafayette Leopards | 64c | 1,483$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.63 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 34c | 1,083$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.58 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 43c | 999.73$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.16 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 61c | 886.26$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Lafayette Leopards | 35c | 852.64$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.46 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 59c | 590.63$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.32 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lafayette Leopards | 53c | 571.31$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.98 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lafayette Leopards | 66c | 565.52$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.06 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Lafayette Leopards | 25c | 512.48$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.06 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked Lafayette Leopards | 65c | 483.13$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…b9e1backed Lafayette Leopards | 67c | 446.52$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.17 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 35c | 363.6$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.69 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lafayette Leopards | 65c | 321.58$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.42 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 37c | 317.43$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.37 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Lafayette Leopards | 70c | 305.68$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.86 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 38c | 299.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.99 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…28abbacked Lafayette Leopards | 43c | 284.54$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.35 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 61c | 283.51$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Lafayette Leopards | 65c | 282.18$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.41 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 39c | 282.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.51 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Lafayette Leopards | 44c | 252.6$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.13 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lafayette Leopards | 66c | 244$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.04 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 35c | 241.19$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.23 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Lafayette Leopards | 62c | 239.94$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.76 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Lafayette Leopards | 52c | 216.59$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.85 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.99 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 23c | 175.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.5 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Lafayette Leopards | 62c | 159.96$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5b…cd83backed Lafayette Leopards | 77c | 159.26$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Lafayette Leopards | 48c | 155.96$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.49 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 35c | 152.42$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.91 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 35c | 135.04$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.62 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 35c | 125.29$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.7 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 35c | 101.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.47 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 50c | 101.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.13 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Lafayette Leopards | 17c | 90.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +120.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 36c | 88.53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.66 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Lafayette Leopards | 62c | 86.2$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 34c | 81.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.81 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 43c | 75.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 42c | 72.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Lafayette Leopards | 43c | 68.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Lafayette Leopards | 28c | 67.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Lafayette Leopards | 62c | 65.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 33c | 56.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…4d2abacked Lafayette Leopards | 59c | 50.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Lafayette Leopards | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 45c | 47.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Lafayette Leopards | 27c | 46.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387b…c1a5backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 44c | 44.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 70c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Holy Cross Crusaders | 56c | 41.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Lafayette Leopards | 45c | 39.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 136 | 50.7%69 W · 67 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 35c | 33.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Holy Cross Crusaders | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Lafayette Leopardsthis page
- Spread: Lafayette Leopards (-3.5)Holy Cross Crusaders won
- Spread: Lafayette Leopards (-4.5)Holy Cross Crusaders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.