Tennis · resolved market
Royan: Ognjen Milic vs Thomas Faurel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x984b13c9587fbf2e16b8c3772a657057809ed6ea2086515988eed069672a2701
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thomas Faurelof Ognjen Milic, Thomas Faurel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Ognjen Milic | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ognjen Milic | 13c | 3,385$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.73 | 9,161 | 36.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L | -202.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Ognjen Milic | 37c | 1,616$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.59 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Ognjen Milic | 17c | 1,348$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.37 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Ognjen Milic | 18c | 727.5$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Ognjen Milic | 38c | 625.94$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.55 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Thomas Faurel | 60c | 523.57$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.88 | 1,588 | 42.3%672 W · 916 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…96e2backed Thomas Faurel | 61c | 399.46$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.79 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Ognjen Milic | 32c | 372.15$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.57 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Ognjen Milic | 40c | 365.67$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.54 | 4,376 | 52.3%2,290 W · 2,086 L | +67.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Thomas Faurel | 64c | 307.7$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.28 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Thomas Faurel | 70c | 232.36$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.09 | 3,195 | 57.3%1,830 W · 1,365 L | +178.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Thomas Faurel | 63c | 207.99$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.96 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Ognjen Milic | 36c | 194.41$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 5,352 | 28.8%1,543 W · 3,809 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Thomas Faurel | 75c | 154.07$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 8,834 | 42.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L | -169.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Ognjen Milic | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 3,279 | 40.3%1,322 W · 1,957 L | +24.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Thomas Faurel | 64c | 149$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.64 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Ognjen Milic | 24c | 145.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Ognjen Milic | 15c | 142.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Thomas Faurel | 63c | 139.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Ognjen Milic | 37c | 136.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 581 | 45.8%266 W · 315 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Ognjen Milic | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Ognjen Milic | 21c | 107.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 2,347 | 52.1%1,223 W · 1,124 L | +86.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Ognjen Milic | 36c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Ognjen Milic | 22c | 81.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 1,223 | 54.9%672 W · 551 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Ognjen Milic | 21c | 79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Thomas Faurel | 64c | 78.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 1,022 | 57.8%591 W · 431 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Thomas Faurel | 62c | 77.4$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.14 | 7,201 | 49.7%3,577 W · 3,624 L | +114.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Thomas Faurel | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 1,206 | 52.4%632 W · 574 L | +27.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Ognjen Milic | 37c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 2,554 | 36.3%928 W · 1,626 L | -23.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Ognjen Milic | 37c | 50.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Thomas Faurel | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Thomas Faurel | 62c | 45.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 8,057 | 50.8%4,089 W · 3,968 L | +90.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Ognjen Milic | 37c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 749 | 55.1%413 W · 336 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Ognjen Milic | 43c | 35.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Thomas Faurel | 79c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Thomas Faurel | 74c | 27.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Thomas Faurel | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Thomas Faurel | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 6,649 | 46.3%3,079 W · 3,570 L | -38.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffa…17c5backed Thomas Faurel | 80c | 16.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…900ebacked Thomas Faurel | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 103 | 68.9%71 W · 32 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.