Tennis · resolved market
ITF Astana: Maria Sholokhova vs Ha Eum Lee
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x989db97111e8be562b0e3cfc6f65188b9b54ef735942437f90427bf06786a1cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maria Sholokhovaof Maria Sholokhova, Ha Eum Lee
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Maria Sholokhova | 78c | 3,165$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.79 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Ha Eum Lee | 27c | 2,471$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.51 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ha Eum Lee | 22c | 1,359$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.79 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ha Eum Lee | 9c | 889.59$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.93 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Maria Sholokhova | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ha Eum Lee | 5c | 360$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…cebfbacked Maria Sholokhova | 76c | 89.95$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 671 | 78.7%528 W · 143 L | +49.1wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Ha Eum Lee | 31c | 64.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Ha Eum Lee | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 179 | 36.9%66 W · 113 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Ha Eum Lee | 32c | 59.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e0…b68abacked Maria Sholokhova | 70c | 44.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6256…e295backed Ha Eum Lee | 31c | 38.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Maria Sholokhova | 68c | 35.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78fb…56bcbacked Maria Sholokhova | 68c | 29.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maria Sholokhova | 69c | 23.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Maria Sholokhova | 68c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c0…e76abacked Maria Sholokhova | 79c | 21.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Maria Sholokhova | 68c | 19.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…a2fabacked Maria Sholokhova | 73c | 17.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.