Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: S2G (-1.5) vs Frites Esports Club (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98a46938823dbe6c6833bda5bda0e4234346f5a53ce8f1381c8453318f9a75ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Frites Esports Clubof S2G Esports, Frites Esports Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,027 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e15…7ec8backed S2G Esports | 66c | 1,415$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.4 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Frites Esports Club | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Frites Esports Club | 33c | 300$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 605 | 38.8%235 W · 370 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed S2G Esports | 67c | 300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed S2G Esports | 65c | 292$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.8 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Frites Esports Club | 35c | 286.72$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.75 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Frites Esports Club | 35c | 263.57$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.95 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Frites Esports Club | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 866 | 49.7%430 W · 436 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked S2G Esports | 64c | 175.2$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.13 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc19e…452dbacked S2G Esports | 71c | 147.89$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Frites Esports Club | 30c | 145.35$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.34 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…31ecbacked Frites Esports Club | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked S2G Esports | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x560e…59b1backed Frites Esports Club | 45c | 59.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Frites Esports Club | 39c | 58.77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…ae1dbacked S2G Esports | 64c | 42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 257 | 64.2%165 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Frites Esports Club | 49c | 31.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed S2G Esports | 65c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7178…8fb9backed S2G Esports | 68c | 21.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 130 | 57.7%75 W · 55 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…2359backed S2G Esports | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: S2G (-1.5) vs Frites Esports Club (+1.5)this page
- LoL: S2G Esports vs Frites Esports Club (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group FFrites Esports Club won
- LoL: S2G Esports vs Frites Esports Club - Game 1 WinnerS2G Esports won
- LoL: S2G Esports vs Frites Esports Club - Game 2 WinnerFrites Esports Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.