Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tianjin: Donghyun Hwang vs Daisuke Sumizawa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98ca7f7b050a1ab1a45f88bfa4c050f4687d7ec1beaada1345b6801c6718e9b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Donghyun Hwangof Donghyun Hwang, Daisuke Sumizawa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Daisuke Sumizawa | 52c | 938.87$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.39 | 189 | 47.6%90 W · 99 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…e505backed Daisuke Sumizawa | 9c | 432.17$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +33%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Daisuke Sumizawa | 4c | 423$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 4,584 | 48.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L | +35.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Donghyun Hwang | 71c | 304.71$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.19 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Donghyun Hwang | 60c | 252.68$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.16 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Daisuke Sumizawa | 46c | 250.26$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.15 | 965 | 41.5%400 W · 565 L | +14.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Donghyun Hwang | 75c | 182.11$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Daisuke Sumizawa | 28c | 173.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 507 | 46.5%236 W · 271 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Donghyun Hwang | 55c | 149.98$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.49 | 1,540 | 49.2%758 W · 782 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc5…d36ebacked Daisuke Sumizawa | 46c | 129.17$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.42 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Donghyun Hwang | 68c | 126$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 171 | 36.3%62 W · 109 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e28…6497backed Daisuke Sumizawa | 25c | 118.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Daisuke Sumizawa | 20c | 112.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 1,624 | 54.4%883 W · 741 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13f…343fbacked Donghyun Hwang | 78c | 108.97$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Donghyun Hwang | 65c | 106.92$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 579 | 48.5%281 W · 298 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Donghyun Hwang | 57c | 92.85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 699 | 47.8%334 W · 365 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Donghyun Hwang | 59c | 78.7$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Donghyun Hwang | 79c | 72.02$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Donghyun Hwang | 52c | 70.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.69 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Daisuke Sumizawa | 50c | 61.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 2,144 | 54.2%1,162 W · 982 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Daisuke Sumizawa | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 229 | 30.6%70 W · 159 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Donghyun Hwang | 65c | 54.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 380 | 47.1%179 W · 201 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b3…ed60backed Daisuke Sumizawa | 23c | 50.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Daisuke Sumizawa | 52c | 49.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 221 | 52.5%116 W · 105 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1e…cbfbbacked Daisuke Sumizawa | 26c | 43.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…a3fbbacked Donghyun Hwang | 68c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Donghyun Hwang | 52c | 26.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Donghyun Hwang | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Donghyun Hwang | 57c | 24.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Daisuke Sumizawa | 43c | 24.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Donghyun Hwang | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Donghyun Hwang | 65c | 18.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 5,377 | 48.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Donghyun Hwang | 55c | 18.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.