Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Barça eSports vs FALKE ESPORTS (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98d0d1564c6e5c947b07db7b84ae731c038547042bcd2f512556a21f48d327b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barça eSportsof Barça eSports, FALKE ESPORTS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xba38…e406backed Barça eSports | 76c | 16,644$12,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,990.85 | 548 | 51.1%280 W · 268 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 23c | 9,248$2,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,136.18 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +10.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Barça eSports | 80c | 6,909$5,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.36 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec6…a2f1backed FALKE ESPORTS | 24c | 3,579$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed FALKE ESPORTS | 23c | 2,150$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.43 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 24c | 2,004$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.02 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…3de2backed FALKE ESPORTS | 23c | 1,159$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.85 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2944…031abacked FALKE ESPORTS | 10c | 1,106$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 24c | 1,002$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.51 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ed…5dc7backed FALKE ESPORTS | 24c | 954.4$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.06 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x278b…6a23backed FALKE ESPORTS | 24c | 766.38$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Barça eSports | 78c | 666.19$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.72 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 24c | 600.65$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.16 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48d1…beddbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 22c | 510$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed FALKE ESPORTS | 23c | 462.05$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.23 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -29%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed FALKE ESPORTS | 16c | 433.41$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.02 | 465 | 26.7%124 W · 341 L | -25.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Barça eSports | 76c | 415.99$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 230 | 55.7%128 W · 102 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed FALKE ESPORTS | 47c | 406.03$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.73 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed FALKE ESPORTS | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 537 | 42.1%226 W · 311 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Barça eSports | 79c | 381.64$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.36 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed FALKE ESPORTS | 24c | 380.25$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.26 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Barça eSports | 75c | 364.45$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00a8…c071backed FALKE ESPORTS | 23c | 357.86$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Barça eSports | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda6…84c5backed Barça eSports | 77c | 295.86$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Barça eSports | 79c | 286.6$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.01 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf901…5f48backed FALKE ESPORTS | 24c | 187.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked FALKE ESPORTS | 22c | 177.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed FALKE ESPORTS | 23c | 167.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2c…9642backed FALKE ESPORTS | 17c | 136.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed FALKE ESPORTS | 11c | 93.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Barça eSports | 46c | 92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.42 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Barça eSports | 78c | 80$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3734backed FALKE ESPORTS | 24c | 79.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed FALKE ESPORTS | 24c | 79.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed FALKE ESPORTS | 24c | 75.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked FALKE ESPORTS | 17c | 68.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Barça eSports | 46c | 64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 88 | 28.4%25 W · 63 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Barça eSports | 48c | 60.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed FALKE ESPORTS | 24c | 53.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 175 | 55.4%97 W · 78 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed FALKE ESPORTS | 21c | 47.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Barça eSports | 52c | 41.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 157 | 54.1%85 W · 72 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Barça eSports | 76c | 20.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed Barça eSports | 78c | 18.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Barça eSports vs FALKE ESPORTS (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Phase 1 Playoffsthis page
- Map Handicap: BAR (-1.5) vs FALKE ESPORTS (+1.5)Barça eSports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.