Asian League · resolved market
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99cea23622a451ecbeb1ae54cfabd1a282c6ef1b34f96096a0fdd5a1dbbbd4df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 3,961$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.75 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 36c | 3,059$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 1,842$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.45 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Over | 47c | 1,505$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.26 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…e501backed Under | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Over | 52c | 999.85$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.92 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.5wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Over | 45c | 950.64$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.81 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 41c | 853.66$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…67f5backed Under | 56c | 624.74$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 60c | 599.98$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 53c | 286.79$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 48c | 242.71$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.21 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 56c | 204$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.93 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 53c | 187.71$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.25 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 53c | 182.32$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.69 | 395 | 49.9%197 W · 198 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 41c | 173.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 24c | 167.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 396 | 55.8%221 W · 175 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Under | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Under | 27c | 147.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.66 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 27c | 125$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.25 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 40c | 111$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 1,022 | 41.5%424 W · 598 L | -33.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 65c | 104.61$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 1,354 | 45.4%615 W · 739 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…31f3backed Over | 46c | 104.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 51c | 102$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Over | 51c | 90.61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 36c | 86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.96 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Under | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 40c | 74.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 53c | 71.16$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed Under | 55c | 63.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.64 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…f50abacked Over | 46c | 61.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 40c | 60.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f4d…398dbacked Under | 58c | 57.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 51c | 53.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x095d…110bbacked Under | 48c | 51.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 41c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3b…f353backed Under | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Over | 42c | 40.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 74c | 40.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked Over | 72c | 37.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 61c | 33.66$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 65c | 32.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 52c | 31.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x66e8…c0e2backed Under | 49c | 31.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…6c4abacked Under | 49c | 30.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 67c | 28.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 67c | 28.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 54c | 21.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Under | 69c | 20.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Fayha Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Kholood Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.