Tennis · resolved market
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Nuno Borges
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a023edbef06d61afbd19fbc16750e652bd3a13894ce4c4a087fab3db28a3ee7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Borgesof Zandschulp, Borges
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Borges | 65c | 3,743$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.27 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Zandschulp | 38c | 1,786$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.46 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Borges | 66c | 1,276$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.18 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zandschulp | 43c | 1,268$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.15 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Zandschulp | 47c | 837.17$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.47 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -9.8wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Zandschulp | 39c | 834.63$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.93 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…1eb0backed Zandschulp | 39c | 818.67$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.74 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -11.1wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Borges | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Borges | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Borges | 48c | 405.12$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.22 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Zandschulp | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…7f00backed Borges | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Zandschulp | 62c | 275.41$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.75 | 295 | 53.2%157 W · 138 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Zandschulp | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Zandschulp | 38c | 217.62$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.38 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Borges | 49c | 200$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Borges | 50c | 198.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.99 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Borges | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0a…0684backed Borges | 55c | 101.2$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Borges | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Borges | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Zandschulp | 52c | 97.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Zandschulp | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Zandschulp | 51c | 81.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.63 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Zandschulp | 45c | 58.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Borges | 71c | 56.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…773ebacked Zandschulp | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Borges | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8004…8125backed Zandschulp | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2f…66b2backed Borges | 71c | 28.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.