CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FOKUS (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a3c1e67ced14750dfc010855e4da133f3657ab83d2566f577f3feff2efcc207
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CYBERSHOKE Esportsof FOKUS, CYBERSHOKE Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 69c | 2,026$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.1 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5e…ba7ebacked FOKUS | 32c | 916.22$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed FOKUS | 31c | 841.67$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.08 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed FOKUS | 31c | 599.91$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.97 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked FOKUS | 58c | 250$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.9 | 3,217 | 51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L | +89.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked FOKUS | 30c | 234$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed FOKUS | 30c | 210$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 56c | 201.26$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.32 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 66c | 199.08$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.69 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 70c | 110.06$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed FOKUS | 29c | 95.72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 504 | 48.8%246 W · 258 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee22…7054backed FOKUS | 30c | 89.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked FOKUS | 73c | 86.22$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.94 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 70c | 86.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 1,998 | 53.7%1,073 W · 925 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 42c | 73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.34 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 42c | 70.94$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 1,643 | 32.8%539 W · 1,104 L | -48.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed FOKUS | 29c | 70.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 70c | 65.24$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…3369backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 70c | 49.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 70c | 41.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked FOKUS | 30c | 40.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked FOKUS | 31c | 32.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9444…048ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 70c | 32.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FOKUS | 62c | 25.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed CYBERSHOKE Esports | 70c | 23.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ac…427fbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports | 71c | 14.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FOKUS (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsFOKUS won
- Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 1 WinnerFOKUS won
- Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 WinnerCYBERSHOKE Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.