TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
FOKUSof FOKUS, CYBERSHOKE Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,415
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,356

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,415 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x048f…9992backed CYBERSHOKE Esports1c1,000$10 inLost-$105740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf268…ecf6backed CYBERSHOKE Esports54c924.79$500 inLost-$5007851.3%40 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed FOKUS66c784.76$517 inWon+$267.734,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked FOKUS66c769.83$510 inWon+$259.673,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed CYBERSHOKE Esports22c608.02$132 inLost-$131.751,43139%558 W · 873 L-41.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88aa…2f5ebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports42c556.88$234 inLost-$233.892133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked CYBERSHOKE Esports29c532$154 inLost-$153.972,67247.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed CYBERSHOKE Esports15c455$70 inLost-$70.162,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed FOKUS78c422.72$332 inWon+$90.976,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports7c306$20 inLost-$20.4931845.3%144 W · 174 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked FOKUS62c284$176 inWon+$107.592,60552.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L+97.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed CYBERSHOKE Esports15c258$40 inLost-$39.755,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked FOKUS76c228.91$175 inWon+$53.9144675.3%336 W · 110 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked FOKUS44c177.44$78 inWon+$99.3633839.9%135 W · 203 L+12.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2230…c3b7backed CYBERSHOKE Esports42c165.61$70 inLost-$69.561631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-46%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed CYBERSHOKE Esports9c156.12$14 inLost-$13.712,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked FOKUS62c151.11$93 inWon+$57.681,71052.3%895 W · 815 L-73.4wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed CYBERSHOKE Esports18c140$26 inLost-$25.92,47424.7%611 W · 1,863 L-316.9wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked FOKUS75c135$101 inWon+$33.751,79059.2%1,060 W · 730 L+106.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked FOKUS77c129.5$100 inWon+$29.671,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed FOKUS47c126.03$59 inWon+$67.3627748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e5f…6ee5backed CYBERSHOKE Esports42c102.51$43 inLost-$43.056040%24 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e85…01fcbacked FOKUS51c100$51 inWon+$492864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed CYBERSHOKE Esports23c78$18 inLost-$17.7840141.6%167 W · 234 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports23c76.73$18 inLost-$17.6340972.4%296 W · 113 L+38.0wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed FOKUS46c76.2$35 inWon+$41.1570242.2%296 W · 406 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked CYBERSHOKE Esports44c67.61$30 inLost-$29.7592145.8%422 W · 499 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed CYBERSHOKE Esports23c56.44$13 inLost-$12.8764046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fa7…91d2backed FOKUS68c51.59$35 inWon+$16.59666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b22…377ebacked FOKUS76c43.07$33 inWon+$10.3436174.8%270 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x11ee…e6c6backed CYBERSHOKE Esports48c41.33$20 inLost-$202356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked FOKUS47c22.88$11 inWon+$12.2353145.4%241 W · 290 L-18.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked FOKUS76c21.73$16 inWon+$5.245,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd11…67b1backed FOKUS71c20$14 inWon+$5.922557.3%129 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed FOKUS52c19.87$10 inWon+$9.541,89547.8%906 W · 989 L-50.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked FOKUS80c14$11 inWon+$2.82,14347.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L-61.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.