Tennis · resolved market
ITF Taipei: Dayeon Back vs Haruka Kaji
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a576d6403d9645a193891c3cccec5edc03cece52a78e96eaab0721442df8088
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dayeon Backof Dayeon Back, Haruka Kaji
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2b1…0d02backed Haruka Kaji | 29c | 15,088$4,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,384.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Dayeon Back | 78c | 4,803$3,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.65 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Dayeon Back | 69c | 4,449$3,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.26 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dayeon Back | 69c | 3,780$2,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.7 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Haruka Kaji | 25c | 2,156$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.1 | 1,806 | 40.9%739 W · 1,067 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Haruka Kaji | 19c | 900$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.94 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Dayeon Back | 69c | 869.57$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.57 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Haruka Kaji | 6c | 724.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.9 | 575 | 22.1%127 W · 448 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Haruka Kaji | 20c | 700.84$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.54 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Haruka Kaji | 19c | 639.01$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.78 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Dayeon Back | 69c | 599.58$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.87 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Haruka Kaji | 4c | 597.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 4,411 | 51.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L | +137.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Dayeon Back | 71c | 537.08$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.66 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Haruka Kaji | 20c | 482.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.3 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Haruka Kaji | 24c | 447$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.82 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Haruka Kaji | 22c | 382.38$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Dayeon Back | 73c | 291.83$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.97 | 1,773 | 48.6%861 W · 912 L | +28.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Haruka Kaji | 21c | 229.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 5,377 | 48.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Dayeon Back | 75c | 220$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Haruka Kaji | 20c | 212.75$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Haruka Kaji | 7c | 186.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 433 | 34.9%151 W · 282 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Dayeon Back | 74c | 172$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Haruka Kaji | 7c | 162.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Haruka Kaji | 34c | 145.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed Dayeon Back | 72c | 137.95$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed Dayeon Back | 69c | 132.7$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 139 | 66.2%92 W · 47 L | +17.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dayeon Back | 66c | 127.22$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.88 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Haruka Kaji | 28c | 114.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Dayeon Back | 74c | 89.44$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Dayeon Back | 72c | 63.97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d70…ae13backed Haruka Kaji | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Dayeon Back | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b8…0effbacked Dayeon Back | 69c | 33.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.28 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Dayeon Back | 69c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Dayeon Back | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff0…2fbabacked Dayeon Back | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed Dayeon Back | 71c | 27.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.99 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…ab36backed Dayeon Back | 72c | 27.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Dayeon Back | 73c | 27.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Dayeon Back | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbf…49c1backed Dayeon Back | 70c | 20.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Dayeon Back | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 234 | 27.4%64 W · 170 L | -40.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Dayeon Back | 68c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Dayeon Back | 72c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 419 | 58.7%246 W · 173 L | +23.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.