College Football · resolved market
South Alabama vs. North Texas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a5e6b7e96aaa8166ce6cd132a982b88669c01bae23cd59c0aefa5b982402fe8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- North Texasof South Alabama, North Texas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,779
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed South Alabama | 15c | 2,554$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.18 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed South Alabama | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked North Texas | 80c | 1,746$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.25 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked North Texas | 78c | 1,279$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.53 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked North Texas | 80c | 1,004$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.85 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed South Alabama | 21c | 867.51$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.93 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked South Alabama | 19c | 637.34$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.09 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed South Alabama | 18c | 552.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked South Alabama | 17c | 550$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked South Alabama | 9c | 459.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.23 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed South Alabama | 19c | 427.23$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.17 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed North Texas | 79c | 250$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.69 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed South Alabama | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 157 | 34.4%54 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked South Alabama | 19c | 152.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed North Texas | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed South Alabama | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked North Texas | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked South Alabama | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked South Alabama | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed South Alabama | 19c | 83.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked South Alabama | 20c | 55.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- South Alabama vs. North Texasthis page
- O/U 63.5Under won
- Spread: North Texas (-12.5)North Texas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.