Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a9f3bed1f6dac1a3d9884cfee25474ab3e9ba9d81dc2bd8cfd7e8ed0d1fa8b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBRof G2 Esports, MIBR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,704
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,704 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked G2 Esports | 31c | 434.77$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.78 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked MIBR | 67c | 285.68$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.8 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked MIBR | 69c | 258.79$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.23 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed G2 Esports | 31c | 251.67$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed MIBR | 69c | 145.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed G2 Esports | 32c | 132.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.36 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed G2 Esports | 32c | 97.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed G2 Esports | 51c | 94.27$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked G2 Esports | 33c | 94.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 267 | 58.8%157 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked MIBR | 68c | 85.37$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked MIBR | 68c | 85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed MIBR | 69c | 84.37$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed MIBR | 69c | 61.83$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed G2 Esports | 33c | 59.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a56…c6e0backed G2 Esports | 33c | 46.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed MIBR | 69c | 41.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed MIBR | 69c | 41.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed MIBR | 68c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…03a8backed MIBR | 69c | 18.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group AlphaMIBR won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs MIBR - Map 1 WinnerMIBR won
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs MIBR - Map 2 WinnerMIBR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.