Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Bencic (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9aeaf80a8c980baae96e9d7e4f3c922e1eb0718f964896fd20622e29a1023760
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bencicof Gauff, Bencic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Bencic | 72c | 6,940$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,939.67 | 459 | 57.5%264 W · 195 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Bencic | 73c | 5,030$3,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.69 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Gauff | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Gauff | 27c | 4,886$1,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,319.26 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Gauff | 28c | 1,391$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.12 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Gauff | 32c | 999.98$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Gauff | 26c | 703.06$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.79 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Bencic | 74c | 666$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.16 | 385 | 50.4%194 W · 191 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Gauff | 28c | 599.99$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e27…08edbacked Bencic | 72c | 521.22$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.08 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 67cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Bencic | 68c | 500.12$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.79 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…eb44backed Bencic | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Gauff | 28c | 338$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.64 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Gauff | 33c | 294.01$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.94 | 193 | 46.6%90 W · 103 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Gauff | 33c | 286.85$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Bencic | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Bencic | 56c | 118.29$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Gauff | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Bencic | 68c | 94.56$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Bencic | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Gauff | 30c | 64.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Gauff | 33c | 59.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Gauff | 27c | 56.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Gauff | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Gauff | 28c | 39.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Bencic | 67c | 39.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 205 | 66.8%137 W · 68 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…7426backed Bencic | 71c | 28.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Gauff (-1.5) vs Bencic (+1.5)this page
- Belinda Bencic vs. Coco Gauff: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Bencic vs. Gauff: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Bencic vs. Gauff: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Bencic vs. Gauff: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Bencic vs GauffBencic won
- Set 2 Winner: Bencic vs GauffGauff won
- Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Coco GauffCoco Gauff won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.