Asian League · resolved market
Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b14b63f7334686c1c513178445529a043e3f5567f3f7d2fddb1589e7f85d759
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 7,228$5,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.59 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 30c | 3,009$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.12 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66b…1435backed No | 72c | 1,084$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Yes | 42c | 981.51$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked No | 76c | 789.47$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.47 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +42%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 26c | 748.23$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.99 | 204 | 20.1%41 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 44c | 732.54$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.83 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 50c | 560.24$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.78 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 29c | 555$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.95 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 71c | 550.47$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.23 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb6…544dbacked Yes | 7c | 489.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 29c | 424.85$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.63 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Yes | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 29c | 342.48$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.29 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 33c | 257.77$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.27 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Yes | 33c | 257.7$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.24 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 33c | 257.59$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.21 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 33c | 257.27$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.1 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes | 29c | 255.63$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.89 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 29c | 221.89$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Yes | 29c | 206.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.73 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 30c | 197.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.39 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 46c | 172$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.96 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 21c | 166.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 30c | 159.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 24c | 144.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 76c | 141$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 74cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 24c | 141$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 31c | 123.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 25c | 106$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cb…2a9cbacked Yes | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 66c | 99.39$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes | 32c | 80.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 66c | 74.27$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 31c | 73.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 31c | 73.69$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 26c | 69.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe375…b335backed Yes | 16c | 69.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85f1…e20dbacked No | 37c | 64.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.77per pick | 24cpaid | +535.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…860fbacked No | 51c | 64.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 26c | 52.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked No | 76c | 50.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed No | 76c | 50.19$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked No | 76c | 43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed Yes | 28c | 42.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…551ebacked No | 40c | 42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8584…6b7dbacked Yes | 24c | 41.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 26c | 41.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 76c | 40.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc4…e114backed No | 76c | 40.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 26c | 39.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…cfffbacked Yes | 45c | 37.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 63c | 36.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 77c | 32.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 79c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 50c | 31.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked No | 75c | 29.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed No | 76c | 29.52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 76c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…8ab3backed No | 72c | 23.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb68e…30cfbacked No | 76c | 21.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…9d35backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1c…ddeebacked No | 72c | 18.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will Vissel Kōbe vs. Nagoya Grampus end in a draw?No won
- Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.