TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Foggia: Tyra Caterina Grant vs Darya Astakhova

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tyra Caterina Grantof Tyra Caterina Grant, Darya Astakhova
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$241,213
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$238,442

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,213 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5f65…2036backed Darya Astakhova10c60,679$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00074439.8%296 W · 448 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Darya Astakhova10c17,365$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,760.46,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Darya Astakhova29c5,487$1,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,591.321,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Darya Astakhova12c4,230$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.088,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Darya Astakhova11c3,655$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.734,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6d2…4a24backed Darya Astakhova5c1,696$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6552910%53 W · 476 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Darya Astakhova12c1,291$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.872,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Darya Astakhova13c1,057$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.152,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc41e…e2e9backed Darya Astakhova1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10640%0 W · 64 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Darya Astakhova10c920.32$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.853,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Tyra Caterina Grant71c777.02$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.333,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Darya Astakhova11c758.64$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.124,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Darya Astakhova25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15081047.9%388 W · 422 L+30.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed Darya Astakhova10c576.73$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4242125.7%108 W · 313 L-0.4wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Darya Astakhova8c550.47$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.412,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Tyra Caterina Grant72c547.94$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.421,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Darya Astakhova27c535.14$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.792,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Darya Astakhova11c526.55$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.991755.5%509 W · 408 L+2.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Darya Astakhova25c500.98$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.995,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Darya Astakhova17c489.15$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7129533.6%99 W · 196 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Darya Astakhova28c400$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1142,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Darya Astakhova27c312.29$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.842,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8073…c119backed Darya Astakhova10c310.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.622653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Tyra Caterina Grant76c304.5$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.0885348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Tyra Caterina Grant76c304.5$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.0865952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Tyra Caterina Grant65c300$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10639941.9%167 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x55ab…40e8backed Darya Astakhova10c286.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303514.3%5 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+136.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Darya Astakhova26c244.3$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.447854.8%262 W · 216 L+25.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Tyra Caterina Grant72c208.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.332,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Darya Astakhova26c200.2$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.883,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e0b…1435backed Tyra Caterina Grant56c180$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.339035.9%140 W · 250 L-61.1wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-43.1%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xc3a2…8ff7backed Darya Astakhova25c150.8$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.739443.9%173 W · 221 L+19.6wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Darya Astakhova13c146.57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4720259.4%120 W · 82 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Tyra Caterina Grant71c139.99$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.699249.4%490 W · 502 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Tyra Caterina Grant63c138$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6545235.8%162 W · 290 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Tyra Caterina Grant63c138$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6548235.9%173 W · 309 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Tyra Caterina Grant63c138$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6569438%264 W · 430 L+21.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ca2…088ebacked Tyra Caterina Grant63c138$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6519744.7%88 W · 109 L+17.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Tyra Caterina Grant72c107.53$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.111,02157.8%590 W · 431 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f06…3e6ebacked Darya Astakhova12c103$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.035617.9%10 W · 46 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe5ad…cd92backed Darya Astakhova10c102$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-46.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Darya Astakhova26c69.77$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.142,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Darya Astakhova29c69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.012,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39f6…c6efbacked Tyra Caterina Grant65c54$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6526640.6%108 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x626d…e570backed Darya Astakhova29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.552035.2%183 W · 337 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tyra Caterina Grant71c45.81$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.287,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…3abfbacked Darya Astakhova29c44.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1326734.1%91 W · 176 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Darya Astakhova25c40.07$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.211,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf76…ffeabacked Tyra Caterina Grant73c32$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.834729.4%102 W · 245 L-35.6wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-35.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.