Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b794f152a668548d52f0c83bf7964f4d9e8ace252f1c0ac58575a60e61b6608
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- JD Gamingof Top Esports, JD Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,528
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed JD Gaming | 67c | 5,000$3,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,674.91 | 922 | 54%498 W · 424 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Top Esports | 34c | 4,579$1,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.42 | 1,428 | 38.4%548 W · 880 L | -42.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked JD Gaming | 69c | 2,651$1,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.69 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Top Esports | 28c | 1,310$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.6 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked JD Gaming | 72c | 968.16$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.75 | 343 | 51.3%176 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cf…99a6backed Top Esports | 31c | 967.9$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…0078backed Top Esports | 31c | 903.39$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed JD Gaming | 71c | 812.58$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.06 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed JD Gaming | 70c | 735.88$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.76 | 637 | 51.2%326 W · 311 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Top Esports | 30c | 672.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed JD Gaming | 69c | 542.43$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.02 | 1,182 | 44.8%530 W · 652 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Top Esports | 28c | 365$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked JD Gaming | 71c | 358.24$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.84 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Top Esports | 33c | 350$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 1,299 | 26.6%345 W · 954 L | +65.4wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Top Esports | 30c | 335.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.23 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad1…172ebacked Top Esports | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Top Esports | 31c | 291.27$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.94 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Top Esports | 30c | 245.03$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.51 | 266 | 41%109 W · 157 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf6…f90ebacked Top Esports | 29c | 203.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…65efbacked Top Esports | 23c | 198.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked JD Gaming | 71c | 176.98$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed JD Gaming | 74c | 160.64$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.48 | 1,004 | 54.5%547 W · 457 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Top Esports | 28c | 154.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 629 | 49.9%314 W · 315 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Top Esports | 31c | 127.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 1,143 | 38.8%444 W · 699 L | -46.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Top Esports | 24c | 110$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed JD Gaming | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 164 | 62.2%102 W · 62 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Top Esports | 34c | 99.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Top Esports | 14c | 78.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 793 | 42.1%334 W · 459 L | -26.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Top Esports | 31c | 75.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 813 | 33%268 W · 545 L | -43.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Top Esports | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 562 | 28.6%161 W · 401 L | -32.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Top Esports | 31c | 66.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 655 | 44.1%289 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee0e…38bbbacked Top Esports | 40c | 65.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 762 | 46.9%357 W · 405 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae0b…0913backed JD Gaming | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76a…47c0backed Top Esports | 36c | 54.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 288 | 56.3%162 W · 126 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5c…d463backed JD Gaming | 71c | 46.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed JD Gaming | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 150 | 60.7%91 W · 59 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Top Esports | 30c | 34.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c55…e0f8backed JD Gaming | 68c | 29.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…5badbacked JD Gaming | 72c | 22.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 139 | 63.3%88 W · 51 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ada…5c6cbacked JD Gaming | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 233 | 64.4%150 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnerJD Gaming won
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 WinnerJD Gaming won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.