Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bd7d40760bae80c1f5521efce86aa2efa982d4f06b027e59ab2372d1d4b25b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf07…e601backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 48c | 1,646$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.17 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 37c | 1,370$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810a…2b8ebacked Yes | 58c | 1,300$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 54c | 999.97$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.98 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 8c | 904.83$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.47 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -14.9wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 55c | 899.42$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…bac6backed No | 52c | 599.99$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 53c | 488.99$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.73 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 16c | 468.74$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.44 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 47c | 421.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.66 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 364.8$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.18 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b99…4b3abacked Yes | 11c | 255.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 19c | 253.84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 47c | 217.71$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.32 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked No | 55c | 216.77$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.77 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.2 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1317backed No | 68c | 176.45$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.13 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -51%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 16c | 171.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed No | 66c | 160$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 57c | 142.89$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.76 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked No | 48c | 141.49$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 46c | 130.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.39 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Yes | 12c | 111.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ad…5692backed No | 58c | 109.44$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…d51ebacked No | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Yes | 9c | 108.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed No | 50c | 105.22$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.22 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 43c | 101.73$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 69c | 96.71$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.39 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked No | 54c | 95.17$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.03 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked No | 51c | 85.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.13 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 43c | 80.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 41c | 78.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 50c | 77.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 37c | 70.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked No | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed No | 57c | 57.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +283.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 74c | 47.7$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 237 | 43.9%104 W · 133 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Yes | 33c | 47.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeda…e7afbacked Yes | 57c | 44.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd53c…5194backed No | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 42c | 37.76$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…ad00backed Yes | 53c | 37.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x448a…e87dbacked Yes | 43c | 37.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed No | 58c | 34.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe516…14ffbacked Yes | 64c | 34.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Yes | 43c | 33.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Yes | 47c | 31.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x756c…651bbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked No | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 63c | 29.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b73…4941backed No | 52c | 28.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Yes | 47c | 27.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc1…028abacked Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb6…8cdebacked Yes | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…bf8cbacked No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49e4…f9c9backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will NEC vs. Telstar 1963 end in a draw?Yes won
- Will NEC win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.