CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Acend (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9beb1d558f5cb660104191a075f65547a6b8d2cf7aa3806a6225af3a78373322
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUBYof ex-RUBY, Acend
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,880
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,880 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Acend | 46c | 1,741$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.64 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked ex-RUBY | 53c | 1,502$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.89 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed ex-RUBY | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 166 | 53%88 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUBY | 65c | 1,000$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.72 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Acend | 43c | 772.09$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.52 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Acend | 31c | 727.64$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.89 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked Acend | 35c | 696.4$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.05 | 118 | 30.5%36 W · 82 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Acend | 47c | 675.53$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.26 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Acend | 5c | 502$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Acend | 8c | 430.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xac46…ae28backed Acend | 47c | 353.44$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0b…57e0backed Acend | 47c | 351.81$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd605…5b43backed Acend | 47c | 350.75$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb618…545bbacked ex-RUBY | 54c | 350.28$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…a706backed ex-RUBY | 54c | 349.3$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x334b…7647backed ex-RUBY | 54c | 348.94$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Acend | 19c | 328.69$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.9 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Acend | 18c | 286.77$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Acend | 9c | 263.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed ex-RUBY | 53c | 199.98$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Acend | 9c | 189$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Acend | 8c | 160$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed ex-RUBY | 61c | 142$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Acend | 41c | 140.16$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Acend | 9c | 138.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked ex-RUBY | 51c | 117$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.33 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67da…9da8backed Acend | 39c | 102$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e7…174fbacked Acend | 44c | 99.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked ex-RUBY | 64c | 91.92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Acend | 21c | 88.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Acend | 45c | 79.82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Acend | 47c | 79.43$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked ex-RUBY | 73c | 72$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed ex-RUBY | 54c | 68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…81abbacked Acend | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Acend | 46c | 55.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 339 | 39.2%133 W · 206 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Acend | 24c | 54.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Acend | 47c | 52.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 967 | 43.5%421 W · 546 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Acend | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked ex-RUBY | 65c | 49.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Acend | 39c | 38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 750 | 48.4%363 W · 387 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed ex-RUBY | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Acend | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…9b3bbacked Acend | 47c | 28.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Acend | 42c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed ex-RUBY | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 170 | 70%119 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…f7afbacked ex-RUBY | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Acend (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Acend - Map 1 Winnerex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Acend - Map 2 Winnerex-RUBY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.