CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nordic Valor vs maybe (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #8 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c168b420da9188924674b915cea8d928b7efd166ef8420213672eebc15e6eed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- maybeof Nordic Valor, maybe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Nordic Valor | 44c | 544.9$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.25 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4a…c078backed maybe | 56c | 187.02$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.66 | 122 | 71.3%87 W · 35 L | +18.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Nordic Valor | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 170 | 41.2%70 W · 100 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…c920backed maybe | 75c | 94.89$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed maybe | 56c | 79.87$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed maybe | 77c | 67.29$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed maybe | 56c | 57.55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked maybe | 56c | 56.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed maybe | 55c | 51.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Nordic Valor | 26c | 41.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca6…291cbacked maybe | 64c | 31.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked maybe | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed maybe | 55c | 28.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 217 | 50.7%110 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca5…80f5backed maybe | 77c | 27.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…17bcbacked Nordic Valor | 44c | 27.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed maybe | 57c | 19.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked maybe | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 173 | 60.1%104 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x395a…eb72backed maybe | 56c | 18.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86dd…1af2backed maybe | 79c | 17.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.