Asian League · resolved market
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c278c3c03ec545dca5edd3b72679a6aca39b8a8d4584f70ed1c874bcc2f2c21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,440
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,741
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,440 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 56c | 1,029$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.94 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 44c | 720.64$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.56 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Over | 27c | 699.1$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.64 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 24c | 356.17$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.68 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 69c | 311.04$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.19 | 261 | 36.8%96 W · 165 L | -18.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 45c | 292.91$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.1 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 70c | 284.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.11 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 34c | 280.15$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.2 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a31…a9dabacked Over | 44c | 260.25$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.74 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 57c | 210$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…6194backed Over | 25c | 199.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4e…c662backed Over | 44c | 199.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +40%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 121.41$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Over | 78c | 113.04$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa8…a338backed Over | 39c | 102.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Under | 57c | 87.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 55c | 78.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 51c | 70.54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 66c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 69.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 57c | 60.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 56c | 59.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 55c | 46.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 44c | 41.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66bd…8c04backed Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 56c | 35.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44eb…48c6backed Under | 56c | 20.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 2.5this page
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 0.5Over won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 1.5Over won
- Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Bucheon FC 1995 (-2.5)Daejeon Hana Citizen FC won
- Spread: Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-2.5)Bucheon FC 1995 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.