CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Mousquetaires vs MINLATE - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c7db9e6c760147ba06d6f042356c7b80bcb84ec5d7ce909747c928d5e41827d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mousquetairesof Mousquetaires, MINLATE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,686
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,686 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Mousquetaires | 53c | 2,435$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.05 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Mousquetaires | 48c | 1,211$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.29 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Mousquetaires | 32c | 1,091$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.87 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Mousquetaires | 36c | 1,069$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.77 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked MINLATE | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked MINLATE | 52c | 888$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.98 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MINLATE | 73c | 798.99$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.26 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed MINLATE | 53c | 550.71$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.65 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked MINLATE | 59c | 540.45$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.51 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Mousquetaires | 50c | 475.96$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.98 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Mousquetaires | 42c | 386.86$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.62 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MINLATE | 37c | 335.93$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.92 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Mousquetaires | 56c | 303.01$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.14 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MINLATE | 59c | 300.14$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.91 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MINLATE | 51c | 300$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.5 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Mousquetaires | 42c | 266.53$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.25 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Mousquetaires | 59c | 245.93$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked Mousquetaires | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed Mousquetaires | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed MINLATE | 27c | 135$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa62c…a3c1backed MINLATE | 49c | 105.05$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.44 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Mousquetaires | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed MINLATE | 51c | 94.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked MINLATE | 49c | 80.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.32 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed MINLATE | 17c | 80$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Mousquetaires | 26c | 78.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.28 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Mousquetaires | 47c | 77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Mousquetaires | 18c | 70$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked MINLATE | 20c | 66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked MINLATE | 79c | 65$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked MINLATE | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked MINLATE | 75c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked MINLATE | 62c | 56.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Mousquetaires | 51c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Mousquetaires | 38c | 40.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 219 | 56.2%123 W · 96 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed Mousquetaires | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed MINLATE | 40c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Mousquetaires | 47c | 30.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed Mousquetaires | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -13.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Mousquetaires | 53c | 28.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Mousquetaires | 38c | 26.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Mousquetaires vs MINLATE - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Mousquetaires vs MINLATE (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 PlayoffsMousquetaires won
- Counter-Strike: Mousquetaires vs MINLATE - Map 1 WinnerMousquetaires won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.