Tennis · resolved market
ITF Evansville: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Lucrezia Stefanini
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c7ee5e54761f21e443a07bb6775f4d98dded6d43465e0da96f9f6dbdbe4494f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lucrezia Stefaniniof Elizabeth Mandlik, Lucrezia Stefanini
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 36c | 6,370$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262.26 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 66c | 4,938$3,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.98 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 61c | 1,214$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.62 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 47c | 501.08$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.9 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…fb10backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 53c | 439.62$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 452 | 56.2%254 W · 198 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 64c | 418.77$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.7 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 54c | 264.85$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.85 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 31c | 202$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 61c | 155$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 63c | 138.25$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.79 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 33c | 103.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.43 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 264 | 41.7%110 W · 154 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 64c | 96.74$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 36c | 91.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec8…4bedbacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 37c | 65.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 37c | 65.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fc…d8f4backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 37c | 65.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 74c | 57.65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 45c | 55.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 59c | 51.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 45c | 47.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 49c | 47.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 35c | 47.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…430ebacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 68c | 43.87$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 35c | 39.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Elizabeth Mandlik | 43c | 25.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 788 | 47.5%374 W · 414 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Elizabeth Mandlik | 51c | 20.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 49c | 20.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.