Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Lola Radivojevic vs Martha Matoula
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cce812e34878b20ee9f514f18635c4510c2b9a2171f21f617f1db2897b31ecf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lola Radivojevicof Lola Radivojevic, Martha Matoula
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,043
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Martha Matoula | 23c | 1,286$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.69 | 75 | 12%9 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lola Radivojevic | 75c | 1,245$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.81 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Martha Matoula | 26c | 876.64$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.17 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lola Radivojevic | 65c | 801.28$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.67 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed Martha Matoula | 66c | 454.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 285 | 62.8%179 W · 106 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Martha Matoula | 14c | 391.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Martha Matoula | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Martha Matoula | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 275 | 30.2%83 W · 192 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Martha Matoula | 32c | 266.14$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.44 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Martha Matoula | 16c | 240$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1aa…9359backed Martha Matoula | 16c | 227.25$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Martha Matoula | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Martha Matoula | 24c | 140.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lola Radivojevic | 76c | 139.04$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Martha Matoula | 24c | 99.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Martha Matoula | 14c | 99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Martha Matoula | 19c | 90$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lola Radivojevic | 75c | 88$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Martha Matoula | 40c | 79.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked Lola Radivojevic | 67c | 74.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 244 | 50.8%124 W · 120 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Lola Radivojevic | 75c | 66.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Lola Radivojevic | 57c | 50.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Lola Radivojevic | 63c | 43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Martha Matoula | 36c | 41.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 783 | 50.3%394 W · 389 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lola Radivojevic | 72c | 32.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Martha Matoula | 35c | 30.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…69a5backed Lola Radivojevic | 69c | 28.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 215 | 55.8%120 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Lola Radivojevic | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 234 | 27.4%64 W · 170 L | -40.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…ad4abacked Lola Radivojevic | 65c | 16.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.