CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs RUSTEC (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cd9fb017cc89690ea6054d3f1fdc7c00055d4a3ec6a3759099ad552ee49d436
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RUSTECof ex-Zero Tenacity, RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked RUSTEC | 69c | 840.85$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.27 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 35c | 818.81$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.67 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed RUSTEC | 67c | 584.25$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.9 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed RUSTEC | 63c | 491.61$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.82 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed RUSTEC | 54c | 353.25$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.84 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 32c | 351.78$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.71 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 34c | 309.98$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.37 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 23c | 187.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 39c | 184.93$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 32c | 178.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 32c | 171.29$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked RUSTEC | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7673…fa40backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 45c | 150.42$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.69 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked RUSTEC | 75c | 116.23$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 44c | 90$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed RUSTEC | 63c | 87.55$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.21 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked RUSTEC | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 33c | 75.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 302 | 54.3%164 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked RUSTEC | 64c | 70.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 84 | 13.1%11 W · 73 L | -13.9wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked RUSTEC | 55c | 44.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked RUSTEC | 79c | 41.89$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked RUSTEC | 70c | 34.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb997…faacbacked RUSTEC | 59c | 30.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 45c | 29.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 200 | 47.5%95 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 43c | 24.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked RUSTEC | 70c | 23.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed RUSTEC | 55c | 21.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed RUSTEC | 74c | 19.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked RUSTEC | 70c | 19.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked RUSTEC | 63c | 16.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81fc…f616backed RUSTEC | 73c | 14.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs RUSTEC (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #3 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs RUSTEC - Map 2 WinnerRUSTEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.