Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cfe93588113b8f75ab073f5ac45552209c53425a542b9efb89a83dd1fecd8dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 54c | 1,040$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.34 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b2…a017backed Under | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 473 | 47.4%224 W · 249 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 46c | 736.22$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.66 | 922 | 54%498 W · 424 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…0cf9backed Over | 46c | 631.04$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.28 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 54c | 599.97$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.99 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Over | 46c | 555.32$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.45 | 909 | 37.3%339 W · 570 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Over | 51c | 476.63$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.73 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Over | 38c | 263.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Under | 62c | 253.23$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.19 | 1,611 | 48.4%780 W · 831 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987a…40cfbacked Under | 56c | 249.97$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab2…5735backed Over | 46c | 185.78$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.46 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 45c | 177$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.35 | 2,707 | 35.9%972 W · 1,735 L | -152.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…669ebacked Over | 45c | 151.36$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.11 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 44c | 144.71$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.67 | 1,232 | 49.4%609 W · 623 L | +13.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Over | 46c | 105.17$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.38 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 49c | 101.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 46c | 98.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…306fbacked Under | 51c | 91.31$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 195 | 61.5%120 W · 75 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d5…d1bbbacked Under | 55c | 87.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 37c | 83.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 63c | 81.35$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Under | 54c | 71.97$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60da…a14ebacked Over | 48c | 60.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Over | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 537 | 53.6%288 W · 249 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 70c | 55.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 1,730 | 29.5%510 W · 1,220 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Under | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 397 | 48.6%193 W · 204 L | +28.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff73…d0dfbacked Over | 46c | 52.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Over | 48c | 50.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.22 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Over | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 52c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Over | 38c | 34.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd9…2862backed Under | 58c | 33.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 44c | 31.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Under | 34c | 30.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -6.5wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…476abacked Over | 49c | 29.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 187 | 56.7%106 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 48c | 29.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 42c | 25.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 469 | 52.2%245 W · 224 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Over | 46c | 23.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 203 | 32%65 W · 138 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 51c | 20.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.