Tennis · resolved market
ITF Vitoria-Gasteiz: Ruien Zhang vs Han Shi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d3892f8673777c203580979636c76666187ead0cae683989452a04fd23b4585
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Han Shiof Ruien Zhang, Han Shi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Ruien Zhang | 12c | 1,795$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 5,377 | 28.9%1,553 W · 3,824 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Ruien Zhang | 41c | 779.04$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.92 | 223 | 52.5%117 W · 106 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Ruien Zhang | 28c | 778.7$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.52 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Han Shi | 78c | 531.87$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.2 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ruien Zhang | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3,905 | 35%1,368 W · 2,537 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Han Shi | 55c | 378.13$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.98 | 4,407 | 52.3%2,304 W · 2,103 L | +66.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Han Shi | 59c | 300.19$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.08 | 5,031 | 38.5%1,939 W · 3,092 L | -20.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Ruien Zhang | 21c | 290.03$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.53 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Han Shi | 67c | 158$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.53 | 270 | 45.9%124 W · 146 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Han Shi | 78c | 152.93$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Han Shi | 77c | 141.36$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 11,877 | 43.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L | +19.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Ruien Zhang | 12c | 123.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Ruien Zhang | 19c | 112.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ruien Zhang | 43c | 103.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.82 | 6,725 | 46.2%3,108 W · 3,617 L | -42.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Han Shi | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Han Shi | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 395 | 53.9%213 W · 182 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Han Shi | 70c | 97.08$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Ruien Zhang | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Han Shi | 73c | 72.48$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 8,921 | 42.6%3,799 W · 5,122 L | -169.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Han Shi | 69c | 56.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Ruien Zhang | 40c | 53.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Han Shi | 68c | 49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Ruien Zhang | 43c | 33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Han Shi | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Han Shi | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Han Shi | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Han Shi | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Vitoria-Gasteiz: Ruien Zhang vs Han Shithis page
- Set 1 Winner: Zhang vs ShiZhang won
- Set Handicap: Shi (-1.5) vs Zhang (+1.5)Zhang won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.