Champions League · resolved market
Wydad AC vs. Al Ain: 3+ Goals Scored?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d3a26bef2cb08991cd74ab5a6be092162a8453773eed91ada3af0ede8175cab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,078
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,078 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 46c | 1,965$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.99 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Yes | 53c | 1,749$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.53 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 33c | 875.05$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.92 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 80c | 839.88$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.32 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 58c | 717.66$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.78 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Yes | 67c | 656.9$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.55 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 50c | 440$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6187…1746backed Yes | 50c | 440$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 33c | 361.3$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.23 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 79c | 304.12$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.62 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed No | 47c | 277.48$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.88 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed No | 49c | 199.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7541…09d1backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Yes | 51c | 98.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 47c | 88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…6255backed Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac2…1966backed No | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 55c | 49.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…587bbacked Yes | 56c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 63 | 76.2%48 W · 15 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…e776backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed No | 44c | 26.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 44c | 23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 290 | 34.5%100 W · 190 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 47c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.