Euroleague · resolved market
Partizan vs. Olympiacos B.C.
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d5a5eec21ed1e1816ad4eb5b638c39e52e98398e4206401aae2fa0badef4792
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olympiacos B.C.of Partizan, Olympiacos B.C.
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Partizan | 8c | 11,053$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.39 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Partizan | 20c | 1,400$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.22 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Olympiacos B.C. | 80c | 1,034$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.77 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7b…20bbbacked Partizan | 22c | 554.89$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Partizan | 22c | 492.13$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.13 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 78c | 445.49$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Olympiacos B.C. | 77c | 328.07$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.47 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a5…398fbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 80c | 295.9$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Olympiacos B.C. | 77c | 222.73$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Olympiacos B.C. | 78c | 174.98$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Partizan | 23c | 164.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Partizan | 22c | 159.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Partizan | 24c | 127.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Partizan | 19c | 124.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Partizan | 23c | 109$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked Olympiacos B.C. | 80c | 108$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Partizan | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…b94abacked Olympiacos B.C. | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed Olympiacos B.C. | 78c | 98.72$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7167…d87dbacked Partizan | 20c | 98.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…e20abacked Partizan | 21c | 96.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Olympiacos B.C. | 76c | 81$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Olympiacos B.C. | 80c | 73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…4a4dbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 76c | 65.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Olympiacos B.C. | 80c | 64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a67…14b0backed Olympiacos B.C. | 80c | 62.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22f…7714backed Olympiacos B.C. | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Olympiacos B.C. | 78c | 49.14$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Olympiacos B.C. | 80c | 36.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3e…1543backed Olympiacos B.C. | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Olympiacos B.C. | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Olympiacos B.C. | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca53…195fbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 79c | 20.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 48cpaid | +149.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca8…7c13backed Olympiacos B.C. | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.