Tennis · resolved market
ITF Hillcrest: Ty Host vs Chirag Duhan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d83c4efde7f560eb3a4d649d44d25d3510f7443844de139ee52b90171b370ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chirag Duhanof Ty Host, Chirag Duhan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d14…e4fabacked Ty Host | 4c | 10,100$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chirag Duhan | 50c | 2,705$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.5 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chirag Duhan | 75c | 2,067$1,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.07 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Ty Host | 44c | 947.03$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Ty Host | 5c | 940$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Ty Host | 64c | 495.31$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Chirag Duhan | 45c | 243.97$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.47 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…0454backed Ty Host | 61c | 226.85$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.28 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Chirag Duhan | 31c | 164.52$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.52 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Chirag Duhan | 51c | 132.26$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.06 | 429 | 51.3%220 W · 209 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Ty Host | 54c | 122.82$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.82 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Chirag Duhan | 71c | 115$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Chirag Duhan | 46c | 97.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Ty Host | 53c | 95.24$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Chirag Duhan | 53c | 91.78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Chirag Duhan | 46c | 91.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Chirag Duhan | 45c | 64.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.15 | 1,009 | 38.3%386 W · 623 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Chirag Duhan | 22c | 64.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Ty Host | 78c | 64.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 377 | 76.1%287 W · 90 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Ty Host | 38c | 59.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Ty Host | 48c | 54.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 911 | 63.9%582 W · 329 L | +66.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chirag Duhan | 30c | 50.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…84e9backed Ty Host | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Chirag Duhan | 49c | 47.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 627 | 49.4%310 W · 317 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…2d2ebacked Chirag Duhan | 46c | 35.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Ty Host | 54c | 35.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd936…b95fbacked Ty Host | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Ty Host | 45c | 28.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Chirag Duhan | 50c | 28.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Chirag Duhan | 43c | 26.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Chirag Duhan | 63c | 21.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Chirag Duhan | 57c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.