Tennis · resolved market
Rio Open, Qualification: Jaime Faria vs Nicolas Jarry
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9dae62e362e54f52c0cb7d70637ab37ac9fadbbd607a0f4797880d9b2b08e907
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fariaof Faria, Jarry
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $72,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $72,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jarry | 45c | 20,414$9,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,209.38 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Faria | 56c | 17,404$9,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,701.74 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Faria | 57c | 12,845$7,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,461.27 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Jarry | 44c | 9,458$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160.16 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Faria | 58c | 3,706$2,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.62 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Jarry | 51c | 2,842$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.45 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Jarry | 41c | 1,525$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.25 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Faria | 53c | 1,321$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.99 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Faria | 63c | 1,172$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.02 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Faria | 54c | 1,083$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.98 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc537…f385backed Jarry | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Jarry | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8348…de9fbacked Jarry | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Faria | 55c | 900$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Jarry | 48c | 782.9$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.79 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Faria | 42c | 765$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.7 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Faria | 56c | 671.43$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.43 | 302 | 41.7%126 W · 176 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…fbdabacked Jarry | 25c | 650.88$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.72 | 114 | 17.5%20 W · 94 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Faria | 57c | 479.45$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.09 | 373 | 39.1%146 W · 227 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Jarry | 46c | 478.26$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Jarry | 34c | 400$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 139 | 23.7%33 W · 106 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Jarry | 27c | 367.66$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.19 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Jarry | 32c | 352.97$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.01 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Jarry | 37c | 314$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.08 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Faria | 64c | 287.61$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.72 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Jarry | 38c | 261.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Jarry | 45c | 250$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.11 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Jarry | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Jarry | 46c | 218.04$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.55 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Jarry | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Jarry | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Jarry | 48c | 198.77$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.41 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Faria | 66c | 172.32$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.74 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee9…1362backed Jarry | 46c | 167.39$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 725 | 42.6%309 W · 416 L | -20.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…8ba0backed Jarry | 27c | 165$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 328 | 37.5%123 W · 205 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Faria | 55c | 158$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Jarry | 46c | 153$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.38 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Faria | 46c | 146$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.17 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Jarry | 43c | 143.3$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.88 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Jarry | 46c | 125$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Faria | 51c | 116$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.84 | 552 | 41.3%228 W · 324 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Jarry | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa6…d493backed Jarry | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Jarry | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd211…628bbacked Faria | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Faria | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Faria | 52c | 95.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed Faria | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Jarry | 22c | 76.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x37f1…19a0backed Jarry | 42c | 73.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 517 | 36.9%191 W · 326 L | -39.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Faria | 57c | 70.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Faria | 52c | 55.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Faria | 52c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…7350backed Jarry | 44c | 53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Jarry | 44c | 52.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Jarry | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Jarry | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 442 | 29.6%131 W · 311 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Jarry | 27c | 48.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Jarry | 54c | 37.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Faria | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.