Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Everton (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9db8f266b2f3cb88dc8ac0403992c414d9f0aedc9d1408b496422fa06219d090
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Evertonof Everton, Nottingham Forest
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nottingham Forest | 77c | 4,990$3,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,855.68 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Everton | 22c | 4,910$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,834.48 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Everton | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,185 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe952…bde4backed Nottingham Forest | 1c | 1,077$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Nottingham Forest | 78c | 844.29$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.95 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Everton | 24c | 556.45$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.48 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Nottingham Forest | 76c | 499.99$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Everton | 22c | 290.04$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.23 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Nottingham Forest | 79c | 197.03$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.63 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Nottingham Forest | 77c | 96$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.53 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Everton | 21c | 84.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 370 | 36.2%134 W · 236 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Everton | 77c | 70.13$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked Nottingham Forest | 79c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Nottingham Forest | 79c | 13.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 259 | 49.4%128 W · 131 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…7b19backed Nottingham Forest | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 75cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Everton (-1.5)this page
- Everton vs. Nottingham Forest: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Everton vs. Nottingham Forest: O/U 1.5Over won
- Everton vs. Nottingham Forest: O/U 2.5Over won
- Everton vs. Nottingham Forest: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.