Tennis · resolved market
ITF Slobozia: Radu David Turcanu vs Tudor Batin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e7421b739cc02709305aa36b47cade80e566380fe2386c60c8974d6ce96a6a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Radu David Turcanuof Radu David Turcanu, Tudor Batin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Radu David Turcanu | 68c | 4,563$3,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.14 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tudor Batin | 32c | 4,412$1,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.76 | 11,877 | 43.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L | +19.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Tudor Batin | 25c | 118.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 4,081 | 45.7%1,867 W · 2,214 L | -30.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Tudor Batin | 31c | 94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Radu David Turcanu | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 973 | 56%545 W · 428 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…5f0ebacked Radu David Turcanu | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Radu David Turcanu | 72c | 41.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 595 | 57.8%344 W · 251 L | +21.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Tudor Batin | 28c | 41.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 6,725 | 46.2%3,108 W · 3,617 L | -42.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Tudor Batin | 37c | 39.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Radu David Turcanu | 63c | 39.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Radu David Turcanu | 69c | 32.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 6,584 | 54.4%3,584 W · 3,000 L | +286.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Radu David Turcanu | 75c | 31.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Radu David Turcanu | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 826 | 59.3%490 W · 336 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Radu David Turcanu | 73c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.