CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Imperial - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e87940c0b506cd2b30cfab51a6bc61b44b8073ffee0becffa074afe88e688ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperialof BESTIA, Imperial
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed BESTIA | 30c | 1,905$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.82 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Imperial | 57c | 1,579$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.71 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Imperial | 62c | 1,231$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.93 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d35…b406backed BESTIA | 48c | 1,020$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.16 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Imperial | 56c | 1,005$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.2 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed BESTIA | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed BESTIA | 12c | 800$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af2…a2bbbacked BESTIA | 8c | 652.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…ca87backed BESTIA | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +183%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa981…ab19backed BESTIA | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 74 | 6.8%5 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +172.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BESTIA | 22c | 541.33$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.98 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked BESTIA | 17c | 420.45$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked BESTIA | 31c | 404.43$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 1,768 | 59.2%1,047 W · 721 L | +105.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked BESTIA | 45c | 332.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.79 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Imperial | 55c | 332.87$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.79 | 480 | 40%192 W · 288 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39e4…f089backed BESTIA | 24c | 331.78$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.97 | 317 | 38.8%123 W · 194 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BESTIA | 38c | 306.44$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.54 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed BESTIA | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked BESTIA | 40c | 249.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 431 | 37.8%163 W · 268 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Imperial | 77c | 225.6$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.26 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed BESTIA | 48c | 209.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Imperial | 56c | 203.78$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.34 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Imperial | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Imperial | 43c | 198.2$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.97 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BESTIA | 34c | 195.16$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.77 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…416cbacked BESTIA | 24c | 184.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Imperial | 47c | 176.92$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.92 | 306 | 39.5%121 W · 185 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked BESTIA | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed BESTIA | 15c | 165.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 1,017 | 53.4%543 W · 474 L | +65.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked BESTIA | 28c | 164.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Imperial | 48c | 162.48$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.98 | 303 | 39.3%119 W · 184 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Imperial | 53c | 143$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.21 | 1,314 | 44.3%582 W · 732 L | +47.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf20c…f4c7backed BESTIA | 43c | 136.91$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.62 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1d…38cfbacked BESTIA | 33c | 103.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed BESTIA | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed BESTIA | 46c | 98.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Imperial | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Imperial | 58c | 56.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed BESTIA | 48c | 48.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 247 | 56.7%140 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d16…e42bbacked Imperial | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Imperial | 58c | 41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Imperial | 63c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Imperial | 66c | 36.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Imperial | 60c | 33.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed Imperial | 51c | 31.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…4bc1backed Imperial | 64c | 29.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Imperial | 50c | 28.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 262 | 44.3%116 W · 146 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…6ee5backed Imperial | 53c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Imperial | 59c | 24.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Imperial | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Imperial | 79c | 13.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.85 | 260 | 75%195 W · 65 L | +23.6wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Imperial - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Imperial (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 PlayoffsImperial won
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Imperial - Map 2 WinnerImperial won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.