CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Imperial - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x058a39d04c35ebfde22c4854b7ad72566958f8f0535d688e0920e800e25588a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperialof BESTIA, Imperial
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,821
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,821 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5733…4c87backed BESTIA | 38c | 1,273$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.3 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed BESTIA | 24c | 810.71$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.93 | 5,954 | 37.7%2,247 W · 3,707 L | +77.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Imperial | 70c | 715.31$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.31 | 268 | 61.2%164 W · 104 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed BESTIA | 22c | 680.78$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 426 | 38%162 W · 264 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed BESTIA | 29c | 557.59$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.3 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Imperial | 68c | 550.27$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.94 | 4,165 | 50.9%2,119 W · 2,046 L | +70.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed BESTIA | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 585 | 22.4%131 W · 454 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…df6dbacked Imperial | 64c | 467.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.62 | 108 | 67.6%73 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed BESTIA | 29c | 440.66$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.98 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Imperial | 77c | 407.65$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.58 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8412…55f3backed BESTIA | 38c | 388.65$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Imperial | 79c | 376.15$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.97 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed BESTIA | 20c | 349.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked BESTIA | 34c | 334.67$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.44 | 1,598 | 51.6%824 W · 774 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed BESTIA | 29c | 324.66$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…46eebacked Imperial | 66c | 317.77$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Imperial | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 227 | 67.4%153 W · 74 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Imperial | 75c | 305.67$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.28 | 6,540 | 42.9%2,805 W · 3,735 L | -81.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Imperial | 66c | 304.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.16 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed BESTIA | 14c | 284.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 1,502 | 39.1%587 W · 915 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed BESTIA | 37c | 257.86$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.67 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed Imperial | 62c | 252.64$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Imperial | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 202 | 57.9%117 W · 85 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Imperial | 76c | 220.51$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 5,183 | 37.1%1,924 W · 3,259 L | -274.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked Imperial | 63c | 220.42$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.17 | 337 | 57.3%193 W · 144 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d79…9e95backed Imperial | 67c | 215.8$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.21 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…96bcbacked BESTIA | 37c | 212.23$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.83 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1d…78d4backed Imperial | 65c | 153.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.47 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…9c0abacked BESTIA | 37c | 150$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Imperial | 63c | 144.03$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 2,697 | 52.1%1,405 W · 1,292 L | +30.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked BESTIA | 19c | 113.54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 4,879 | 43.4%2,116 W · 2,763 L | -93.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed BESTIA | 43c | 98.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed BESTIA | 43c | 98.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.16 | 590 | 39.3%232 W · 358 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed BESTIA | 43c | 92.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fad…1a08backed BESTIA | 33c | 89.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Imperial | 61c | 81.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 386 | 49.7%192 W · 194 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked BESTIA | 13c | 80.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 694 | 47.1%327 W · 367 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…af40backed Imperial | 78c | 78.33$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed BESTIA | 17c | 71.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed BESTIA | 19c | 60.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1,042 | 53.1%553 W · 489 L | +62.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked BESTIA | 32c | 52.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed BESTIA | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 793 | 46.4%368 W · 425 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1d…38cfbacked Imperial | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Imperial | 64c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…b1d4backed BESTIA | 37c | 31.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed Imperial | 65c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 253 | 56.9%144 W · 109 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d9…3f76backed Imperial | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Imperial | 77c | 28.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Imperial | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Imperial | 68c | 17.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 269 | 75.5%203 W · 66 L | +25.9wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Imperial - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Imperial (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 PlayoffsImperial won
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Imperial - Map 1 WinnerImperial won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.