CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Imperial (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69bba199af5a1f789ea17578fbad230f4403400dec12ad7040f266040da347ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperialof BESTIA, Imperial
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed BESTIA | 8c | 3,144$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.34 | 1,431 | 39%558 W · 873 L | -41.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Imperial | 57c | 1,525$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.94 | 264 | 61%161 W · 103 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed BESTIA | 17c | 999.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked BESTIA | 33c | 907.01$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8412…55f3backed BESTIA | 15c | 718.01$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.17 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed BESTIA | 4c | 699.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked BESTIA | 41c | 681.87$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.32 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | +12.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Imperial | 74c | 588.62$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.23 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…9c0abacked BESTIA | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Imperial | 58c | 539.3$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.51 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked BESTIA | 39c | 508.33$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.33 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed BESTIA | 5c | 499.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 574 | 22.5%129 W · 445 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d5…9727backed BESTIA | 28c | 484.51$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 174 | 38.5%67 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c33…38c9backed BESTIA | 18c | 285.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed BESTIA | 47c | 276.68$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.79 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Imperial | 75c | 265.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.61 | 225 | 67.1%151 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed BESTIA | 41c | 258.18$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.02 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…64c4backed BESTIA | 27c | 249.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…1068backed Imperial | 79c | 231.72$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 325 | 61.5%200 W · 125 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Imperial | 71c | 212.17$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.17 | 225 | 55.6%125 W · 100 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Imperial | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked BESTIA | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BESTIA | 31c | 175.03$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.09 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcd…2816backed Imperial | 56c | 152.79$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed8…7559backed BESTIA | 41c | 145.23$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Imperial | 74c | 141.59$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Imperial | 78c | 127.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed BESTIA | 10c | 127.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 426 | 38%162 W · 264 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Imperial | 54c | 126.44$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.16 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked BESTIA | 46c | 103.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 513 | 52%267 W · 246 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed BESTIA | 41c | 98.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 1,087 | 37.5%408 W · 679 L | +33.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed BESTIA | 16c | 95.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked BESTIA | 32c | 90$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed BESTIA | 48c | 85.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 446 | 54.9%245 W · 201 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Imperial | 52c | 85.42$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Imperial | 63c | 78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Imperial | 64c | 72$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180a…bd66backed Imperial | 74c | 67.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 163 | 55.2%90 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…46eebacked Imperial | 74c | 67.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…c920backed BESTIA | 51c | 62.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Imperial | 76c | 54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…68c9backed BESTIA | 41c | 52.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 240 | 51.7%124 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Imperial | 78c | 50.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked BESTIA | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…71c9backed BESTIA | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…1966backed Imperial | 58c | 48.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked BESTIA | 25c | 48.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed BESTIA | 45c | 47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 107 | 31.8%34 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed BESTIA | 45c | 43.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12ee…0439backed BESTIA | 45c | 38.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked BESTIA | 44c | 32.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 531 | 45.4%241 W · 290 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed BESTIA | 47c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Imperial | 77c | 30.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed BESTIA | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed Imperial | 55c | 29.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…4bc1backed BESTIA | 40c | 27.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac06…f93dbacked BESTIA | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53c9…234dbacked BESTIA | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe676…aeaabacked Imperial | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf05e…04cebacked Imperial | 80c | 18.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 193 | 59.1%114 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Imperial | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Imperial | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 264 | 75%198 W · 66 L | +24.2wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Imperial (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Imperial - Map 1 WinnerImperial won
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Imperial - Map 2 WinnerImperial won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.