NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9eb158207d29a2b8557a2c92cc6cb13a23f3ce305e15bb8db9279bf35076964f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Wild, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Wild | 44c | 4,636$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.54 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Senators | 73c | 4,426$3,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.09 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Wild | 24c | 2,230$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.52 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Wild | 46c | 1,578$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Senators | 57c | 1,496$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.95 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c0…1356backed Wild | 43c | 1,387$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Senators | 56c | 1,350$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Senators | 64c | 1,172$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.65 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x152d…e2c2backed Wild | 43c | 1,161$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Wild | 43c | 1,046$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.7 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…d54ebacked Senators | 57c | 896$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e5…39c7backed Senators | 57c | 844.83$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x156c…9dd0backed Senators | 57c | 806.3$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Senators | 55c | 586$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.7 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Senators | 55c | 544$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.8 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Senators | 56c | 500$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.85 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Wild | 46c | 464.66$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.74 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Senators | 62c | 455.36$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.47 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Senators | 55c | 420.13$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.06 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked Senators | 56c | 410.76$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.74 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bb…ad38backed Wild | 28c | 360.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Senators | 57c | 349.51$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.29 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5111…920fbacked Wild | 46c | 340$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Wild | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Wild | 5c | 214.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 189 | 5.3%10 W · 179 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2235…d67fbacked Wild | 43c | 209.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05c9…271bbacked Wild | 44c | 155.7$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.51 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Wild | 28c | 150$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22e…039fbacked Wild | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb174…d896backed Senators | 57c | 124.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3789…a08abacked Wild | 46c | 109.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Senators | 57c | 108.75$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Wild | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Wild | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Senators | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Senators | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Wild | 43c | 59.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Wild | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Wild | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0496…2f47backed Wild | 43c | 57.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecb…6550backed Senators | 59c | 55.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…f89ebacked Senators | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1984…241ebacked Senators | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Senators | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516b…534bbacked Wild | 43c | 41.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…9696backed Senators | 58c | 41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee58…ab87backed Wild | 43c | 40.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Senators | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 260 | 59.6%155 W · 105 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa656…dc14backed Wild | 43c | 38.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…f309backed Senators | 58c | 38.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0d…e95cbacked Wild | 44c | 38.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…a006backed Senators | 56c | 36.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe039…9514backed Wild | 43c | 35.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…f3fbbacked Wild | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…387bbacked Senators | 57c | 31.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5205…2ef4backed Wild | 42c | 30.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Wild | 44c | 30.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24e7…97e0backed Senators | 58c | 29.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc04f…0c84backed Wild | 42c | 29.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a93…fa08backed Senators | 57c | 29.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…f299backed Senators | 58c | 28.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb39…8055backed Senators | 57c | 28.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed9e…9823backed Senators | 57c | 27.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…9844backed Senators | 57c | 26.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb760…2d02backed Wild | 45c | 25.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…07aebacked Wild | 42c | 23.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb8…05aabacked Wild | 44c | 23.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…c7a6backed Senators | 57c | 22.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Senators | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 340 | 32.4%110 W · 230 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f2…104dbacked Senators | 58c | 20.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +125.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb65…185abacked Senators | 58c | 19.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94b6…2008backed Senators | 57c | 17.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.