Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Nicholls Colonels vs. New Orleans Privateers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9edfa82f8660e72bf0f71c18712c2be2a1f7af9f6f20374a937124580728860c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nicholls Colonelsof Nicholls Colonels, New Orleans Privateers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,895
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,895 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nicholls Colonels | 45c | 1,594$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.86 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Nicholls Colonels | 45c | 944.45$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.45 | 354 | 52.3%185 W · 169 L | +17.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked New Orleans Privateers | 55c | 524.46$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.66 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed New Orleans Privateers | 47c | 483.67$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.44 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked New Orleans Privateers | 53c | 379$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.46 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed New Orleans Privateers | 54c | 370$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.8 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed New Orleans Privateers | 56c | 355.36$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed New Orleans Privateers | 52c | 296.94$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.18 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked New Orleans Privateers | 55c | 270.45$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.75 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed New Orleans Privateers | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed New Orleans Privateers | 47c | 214.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked New Orleans Privateers | 56c | 205.76$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.23 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Nicholls Colonels | 54c | 167.64$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…1404backed Nicholls Colonels | 67c | 149.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked New Orleans Privateers | 48c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…728abacked Nicholls Colonels | 44c | 71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed New Orleans Privateers | 56c | 57.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked New Orleans Privateers | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed New Orleans Privateers | 46c | 48.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed New Orleans Privateers | 54c | 48.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Nicholls Colonels | 57c | 44.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.26 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c34…c8b8backed Nicholls Colonels | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed New Orleans Privateers | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 46.1%100 W · 117 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked New Orleans Privateers | 32c | 35.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…1511backed Nicholls Colonels | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed New Orleans Privateers | 45c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed New Orleans Privateers | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Nicholls Colonels | 44c | 26.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf443…1ea1backed Nicholls Colonels | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 70cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Nicholls Colonels | 45c | 25.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nicholls Colonels | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Nicholls Colonels | 45c | 24.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Nicholls Colonels | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nicholls Colonels vs. New Orleans Privateersthis page
- Spread: New Orleans Privateers (-1.5)Nicholls Colonels won
- Spread: New Orleans Privateers (-2.5)Nicholls Colonels won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.