Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kramsach: Fares Zakaria vs Lenn Luemkemann
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ee0efaa21ce64781495a6d4e544248c8a43d58467a9d73c9cdd3e07e38a7df1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fares Zakariaof Fares Zakaria, Lenn Luemkemann
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lenn Luemkemann | 50c | 2,200$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090.04 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Fares Zakaria | 46c | 1,607$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.39 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Fares Zakaria | 56c | 1,598$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.74 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lenn Luemkemann | 36c | 1,500$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.7 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Fares Zakaria | 23c | 351.96$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.01 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Fares Zakaria | 55c | 282.67$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.62 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Lenn Luemkemann | 40c | 249.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 788 | 47.5%374 W · 414 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Fares Zakaria | 64c | 248.84$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.6 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Fares Zakaria | 56c | 185.71$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.71 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Lenn Luemkemann | 36c | 176.22$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.72 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Lenn Luemkemann | 64c | 125$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Lenn Luemkemann | 37c | 95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Fares Zakaria | 50c | 91.02$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Fares Zakaria | 57c | 89.47$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Lenn Luemkemann | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Fares Zakaria | 62c | 63.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Fares Zakaria | 58c | 58.08$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.39 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Fares Zakaria | 41c | 58.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Lenn Luemkemann | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…5b5ebacked Fares Zakaria | 56c | 53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Fares Zakaria | 24c | 50.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.77 | 284 | 37.3%106 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Fares Zakaria | 43c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Lenn Luemkemann | 47c | 46.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Fares Zakaria | 61c | 41.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 241 | 59.3%143 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Lenn Luemkemann | 54c | 40.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Lenn Luemkemann | 36c | 37.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Lenn Luemkemann | 40c | 35.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Lenn Luemkemann | 40c | 35.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Fares Zakaria | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Lenn Luemkemann | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Lenn Luemkemann | 36c | 33.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Fares Zakaria | 56c | 28.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lenn Luemkemann | 56c | 25.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Fares Zakaria | 57c | 24.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Lenn Luemkemann | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Fares Zakaria | 63c | 23.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Fares Zakaria | 52c | 23.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Lenn Luemkemann | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Fares Zakaria | 61c | 17.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.