Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ee717382d7ae8a44ea27a9cb94017d08e016e2c62a9c6f58811001c88632ba6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Moroccoof Morocco, Burundi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,392
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,392 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x576c…f218backed Burundi | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Burundi | 33c | 239.39$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Burundi | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…1910backed Morocco | 67c | 149.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.65 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b11…6f75backed Morocco | 74c | 149.41$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 57 | 77.2%44 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Burundi | 34c | 100.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…4f5dbacked Morocco | 72c | 87.16$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b2…3d80backed Burundi | 40c | 75.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc980…83e6backed Morocco | 64c | 57.12$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Burundi | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Burundi | 36c | 37.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Morocco | 61c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Morocco | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 277 | 67.9%188 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Morocco (-1.5)this page
- Morocco vs. Burundi: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Morocco vs. Burundi: O/U 0.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Burundi: O/U 1.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Burundi: O/U 2.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Burundi: O/U 3.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Burundi: O/U 4.5Over won
- Morocco vs. Burundi: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Burundi (-1.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Burundi (-2.5)Morocco won
- Spread: Morocco (-2.5)Morocco won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.